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Monday, 25 July 2016

US Election 2016 - Trump gets post-convention bounce in new polls


Republican Donald Trump has drawn level with and even surpassed his White House rival Hillary Clinton as the billionaire enjoys a surge after his party’s nominating convention last week, polls showed Monday.

Post-convention bounces are expected for a US presidential candidate who has been in the media spotlight for a solid week.
But the surge is notable in the case of Trump, whose convention was disrupted by floor revolts and other controversies including accusations of plagiarism in a speech delivered by his wife and a snub by the nominee’s former rival Ted Cruz.
Trump leads Clinton 48 percent to 45 percent in a CNN/ORC poll, a six-point gain from the network’s previous survey.
When the poll included other candidates Trump was at 44 percent, with 39 percent for Clinton, followed by Libertarian Gary Johnson at nine percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at three percent.
The poll, conducted Friday to Sunday, has a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points.
To date the vast majority of polling has found Clinton with either a slim or a substantial lead.
Trump enjoyed only a two-point bump in a CBS survey, which put him level with Clinton at 42 percent. The poll’s margin of error is four points.
The pair are also tied if Johnson and Stein are included in the polling.
The CBS poll also showed far more Republicans, 44 percent, are now likely to feel that their party is united compared to the 16 percent who felt so one week earlier in the run up to the Republican convention.
From that standpoint Trump’s week in Cleveland was a success.

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